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What to expect in soft tissue surgical robotics 2025

Updated: Jul 30

I'm going to just get out my crystal ball here - this will be 100% just pure guesses based off general zeitgeist in the market - reviewing some patent stuff - watching hiring announcements - watching linked in - seeing some regulatory documents etc etc.



Speculation on what to expect in soft tissue surgical robotics 2025
Speculation on what to expect in soft tissue surgical robotics 2025



But here is what I'm predicting as a short list for 2025... maybe some are wild.



1) IntuItive daVinci 5 gets CE mark early Q2 - for a June launch in select European markets 2) Medicaroid Hinatori gets CE mark Q3

3) Medtronic Hugo gets FDA clearance for Urology / prostate Q1 2025, Gynaecological expansion Q3 4) Medtronic Hugo gets first commercial cases USA Q1, first commercial sales USA Q2 5) Medtronic Hugo gets CE mark on Ligasure and Beta release Q2, and on Stapling Q4 6) CMR Surgical Versius - First US Clinical cases Q1 2025 and first commercial progress USA Q2 2025


7) Stryker makes a bid to acquire a soft tissue robot Q2 2025 - concludes by Q4 2025 - Moon or Distal...


8) JNJ Ottava starts first IDE cases Q1 2025


9) Virtual Incision gets procedural expansion and announces a smaller diameter MIRA system 2025


10) Moon Surgical gets significant upgrades in their vision system analytics and adds more automation features by Q3 2025 (USA)

11) DistalMotion Dexter gets first commercial traction into ASCs Q1 2025

12) SS Innovations gets FDA clearance Q3 2025 with limited indications

13) Toumai gets FDA clearance Q4 2025 with quite broad indications as Xi as predicate 14) Vicarious Surgical submits for IDE 2025

15) Bitrack expands EU commercial footprint throughout 2025

16) Toumai gets first western European sales Q2 2025 17) Intuitive announces the retrofit of the DV5 tower and compatibility to Xi, X and SP - Q3 2025 - but with some nixed functionality like no haptics (This is super wild speculation) 18) Telerobotics gains more traction than people think and it becomes more important as a core feature of systems in tenders and contracting


19) The stapler battle heats up with a faster movement to robotic based stapling than predicted putting pressure on hand held staplers


20) AI features of scene analysis and perioperative assistance start to drop into systems more widely - pushed by Intuitive


21) The market moves to 95% Lease / PPC / structured models and capital up front all but collapses putting pressure on all balance sheets - except Intuitive.


22) The market starts to consolidate with some acquisitions and some companies deciding to exit the race. The number of "available" systems drops.


23) Investment into the space hits a low throughout 2025 as investors question about the returns so far in this specific space. Money moves to other robotic spaces. (and cardiac.)


24) Several new adjunct "tuck in" technologies get acquired by JNJ, MDT, ISRG to bolster their offering and strengthen their robotic platforms.


25) "THE TOWER" becomes an even more important area of focus as companies strive to gain the broader hand held lap and robotic dominance - especially in places like ASCs


26) Data ecosystems become better and more powerful and insights start to drive purchase decisions more than it being seen as an "add on." The data now spans the laparoscopic and robotic cases to start to give deeper hospital insights.

27) Companies will start to strategise deeper on portfolios - and if they need base / entry level systems - besides single port solutions - besides higher end systems to be able to compete as the markets starts to segment globally.


28) Several Chinese companies realise the vast expense - resistance - and resources outside of China and by Q4 2025 only a few will be set to compete outside of China in a meaningful way. The rest retreat back into china.


29) As Robotic Ligasure hits the market - the battle for advanced energy on robots heats up with more articulating energy devices being trialled or even released by Q4 2025. Intuitive upgrades Synchroseal.


30) A sudden global "talent" race will accelerate above and beyond 2024 - as companies understand there are uber specialists that are the catalyst that can drive strategies - and local implementation. Direct employees and distributor "pools" will dry up - and companies will struggle to get the people resources they need.


31) Bonus speculation - Intuitive drop news on hand held stapling and energy.




These are 100% speculations by the author based solely on publicly available intelligence - trends - and information. This is for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for any other reason.


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